Saturday's game between the Atlanta Braves (74-41) and the New York Mets (52-64) at Citi Field should be a competitive matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-4, with the Braves coming out on top. Game time is at 7:15 PM ET on August 12.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Braves will send Spencer Strider (12-4) to the mound, while Jose Quintana (0-3) will take the ball for the Mets.

Braves vs. Mets Game Info & Odds

  • When: Saturday, August 12, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Braves vs. Mets Score Prediction

Our prediction for this contest is Braves 5, Mets 4.

Total Prediction for Braves vs. Mets

  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Read More About This Game

Braves Performance Insights

  • The Braves have played as the favorite in 10 of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Atlanta and its opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Braves are 1-2-0 against the spread.
  • This season, the Braves have won 66 out of the 102 games, or 64.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 17-6 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -250 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 71.4%.
  • Atlanta has scored the most runs (672) in baseball so far this year.
  • The Braves have a 3.92 team ERA that ranks eighth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Mets Performance Insights

  • In eight games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have posted a mark of 1-7.
  • In its previous 10 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on five occasions.
  • The Mets have had a spread set in one of their past 10 games, and they have fallen short of covering the spread each time.
  • The Mets have been underdogs in 43 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (25.6%) in those contests.
  • New York has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +200.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 33.3% chance of walking away with the win.
  • The offense for New York is the No. 22 offense in MLB, scoring 4.3 runs per game (500 total runs).
  • The Mets have the 22nd-ranked ERA (4.56) in the majors this season.

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Braves Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 8 @ Pirates W 8-6 Yonny Chirinos vs Mitch Keller
August 9 @ Pirates W 6-5 Max Fried vs Quinn Priester
August 10 @ Pirates L 7-5 Bryce Elder vs Bailey Falter
August 11 @ Mets W 7-0 Charlie Morton vs Tylor Megill
August 12 @ Mets W 21-3 Allan Winans vs Denyi Reyes
August 12 @ Mets - Spencer Strider vs José Quintana
August 13 @ Mets - Yonny Chirinos vs Kodai Senga
August 14 Yankees - Max Fried vs Clarke Schmidt
August 15 Yankees - Bryce Elder vs Luis Severino
August 16 Yankees - Charlie Morton vs Nestor Cortes Jr.
August 18 Giants - Spencer Strider vs Alex Cobb

Mets Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 7 Cubs W 11-2 Kodai Senga vs Drew Smyly
August 8 Cubs L 3-2 Carlos Carrasco vs Jameson Taillon
August 9 Cubs W 4-3 David Peterson vs Kyle Hendricks
August 11 Braves L 7-0 Tylor Megill vs Charlie Morton
August 12 Braves L 21-3 Denyi Reyes vs Allan Winans
August 12 Braves - José Quintana vs Spencer Strider
August 13 Braves - Kodai Senga vs Yonny Chirinos
August 14 Pirates - Carlos Carrasco vs Quinn Priester
August 15 Pirates - David Peterson vs Bailey Falter
August 16 Pirates - Tylor Megill vs Johan Oviedo
August 17 @ Cardinals - José Quintana vs Adam Wainwright