Friday's game at Citi Field has the Seattle Mariners (76-57) squaring off against the New York Mets (61-73) at 7:10 PM ET (on September 1). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 5-3 win for the Mariners, so it should be a tight matchup.

The probable pitchers are Logan Gilbert (12-5) for the Mariners and Kodai Senga (10-7) for the Mets.

Mariners vs. Mets Game Info & Odds

  • When: Friday, September 1, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Mariners vs. Mets Score Prediction

Our prediction for this game is Mariners 5, Mets 4.

Total Prediction for Mariners vs. Mets

  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Explore More About This Game

Mariners Performance Insights

  • In nine games over the last 10 matchups when favored by oddsmakers, the Mariners have a record of 7-2.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Seattle and its opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Mariners are winless against the spread in their last three chances.
  • The Mariners have won 52, or 58.4%, of the 89 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Seattle has a record of 52-37, a 58.4% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 53.5% chance to win.
  • Seattle has scored the 11th-most runs in the majors this season with 640 (4.8 per game).
  • The Mariners have a 3.66 team ERA that is No. 1 among all MLB pitching staffs.

Mets Performance Insights

  • The Mets have played as the underdog in eight of their past 10 games and have gone 2-6 in those contests.
  • When it comes to the total, New York and its opponents are 2-8-0 in its last 10 games.
  • The Mets' previous 10 contests have not had a spread set by oddsmakers.
  • The Mets have been underdogs in 54 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (27.8%) in those contests.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 9-34 when favored by -105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • The offense for New York is the No. 18 offense in MLB, scoring 4.3 runs per game (582 total runs).
  • The Mets have the 19th-ranked ERA (4.48) in the majors this season.

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Mariners Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 27 Royals W 3-2 Luis Castillo vs Alec Marsh
August 28 Athletics W 7-0 Bryan Woo vs Kyle Muller
August 29 Athletics L 3-1 Luke Weaver vs Ken Waldichuk
August 29 Athletics L 3-1 George Kirby vs Ken Waldichuk
August 30 Athletics W 5-4 Bryce Miller vs Zach Neal
September 1 @ Mets - Logan Gilbert vs Kodai Senga
September 2 @ Mets - Luis Castillo vs David Peterson
September 3 @ Mets - George Kirby vs Tylor Megill
September 4 @ Reds - George Kirby vs Brandon Williamson
September 5 @ Reds - Bryce Miller vs Hunter Greene
September 6 @ Reds - Logan Gilbert vs TBA

Mets Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
August 26 Angels L 5-3 Carlos Carrasco vs Chase Silseth
August 27 Angels W 3-2 David Peterson vs Griffin Canning
August 28 Rangers L 4-3 Tylor Megill vs Jon Gray
August 29 Rangers L 2-1 José Quintana vs Andrew Heaney
August 30 Rangers W 6-5 Denyi Reyes vs Dane Dunning
September 1 Mariners - Kodai Senga vs Logan Gilbert
September 2 Mariners - David Peterson vs Luis Castillo
September 3 Mariners - Tylor Megill vs George Kirby
September 5 @ Nationals - José Quintana vs MacKenzie Gore
September 6 @ Nationals - Kodai Senga vs Patrick Corbin
September 8 @ Twins - TBA vs TBA