Marlins vs. Mets Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - September 20

Published: Sep. 20, 2023 at 11:41 AM CDT|Updated: Sep. 20, 2023 at 5:41 PM CDT
Wednesday's contest features the Miami Marlins (79-73) and the New York Mets (70-81) squaring off at LoanDepot park in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 5-3 win for the Marlins according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET on September 20.
The Marlins will give the nod to Eury Perez (5-5, 3.06 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 6 on the season, and the Mets will turn to Kodai Senga (11-7, 2.95 ERA).
Marlins vs. Mets Game Info & Odds
- When: Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!
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Marlins vs. Mets Score Prediction
Our prediction for this matchup is Marlins 5, Mets 4.
Total Prediction for Marlins vs. Mets
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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Explore More About This Game
Marlins Performance Insights
- Over the past 10 games, the Marlins have been favored twice and split those games 1-1.
- In its last 10 games with a total, Miami and its opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- Oddsmakers have not set a spread for any of the Marlins' last 10 games.
- The Marlins have won 40, or 61.5%, of the 65 games they've played as favorites this season.
- This season Miami has won 38 of its 61 games, or 62.3%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami has scored 634 runs (4.2 per game) this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB.
- The Marlins' 4.21 team ERA ranks 16th among all league pitching staffs.
Mets Performance Insights
- In four games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have posted a mark of 3-1.
- In its previous 10 games with a total, New York and its opponents have combined to exceed the over/under on three occasions.
- Oddsmakers have yet to post a spread in any of the Mets' past 10 games.
- The Mets have been underdogs in 62 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (32.3%) in those contests.
- This season, New York has been victorious 10 times in 42 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- The offense for New York is the No. 20 offense in MLB, scoring 4.4 runs per game (664 total runs).
- The Mets have the 18th-ranked ERA (4.34) in the majors this season.
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Marlins Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 15 | Braves | W 9-6 | Johnny Cueto vs Bryce Elder |
September 16 | Braves | W 11-5 | Bryan Hoeing vs Jared Shuster |
September 17 | Braves | W 16-2 | Jesús Luzardo vs Charlie Morton |
September 18 | Mets | L 2-1 | Edward Cabrera vs Jose Butto |
September 19 | Mets | W 4-3 | Braxton Garrett vs Joey Lucchesi |
September 20 | Mets | - | Eury Pérez vs Kodai Senga |
September 22 | Brewers | - | Johnny Cueto vs Corbin Burnes |
September 23 | Brewers | - | Jesús Luzardo vs Brandon Woodruff |
September 24 | Brewers | - | Edward Cabrera vs Freddy Peralta |
September 26 | @ Mets | - | Braxton Garrett vs Joey Lucchesi |
September 27 | @ Mets | - | Eury Pérez vs Kodai Senga |
Mets Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Pitching Matchup |
---|---|---|---|
September 15 | Reds | L 5-3 | David Peterson vs Hunter Greene |
September 16 | Reds | L 3-2 | Tylor Megill vs Andrew Abbott |
September 17 | Reds | W 8-4 | José Quintana vs Brandon Williamson |
September 18 | @ Marlins | W 2-1 | Jose Butto vs Edward Cabrera |
September 19 | @ Marlins | L 4-3 | Joey Lucchesi vs Braxton Garrett |
September 20 | @ Marlins | - | Kodai Senga vs Eury Pérez |
September 21 | @ Phillies | - | David Peterson vs Ranger Suárez |
September 22 | @ Phillies | - | Tylor Megill vs Taijuan Walker |
September 23 | @ Phillies | - | José Quintana vs Zack Wheeler |
September 24 | @ Phillies | - | Jose Butto vs Cristopher Sanchez |
September 26 | Marlins | - | Joey Lucchesi vs Braxton Garrett |
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